What effect might a ‘No Deal’ Brexit have on farming in the UK?
It remains unclear whether the UK will leave the EU without ‘a deal’ on 31st October 2019 or at a later date.
There is widespread agreement that the farming and food sector will be one of the sectors most affected by a ‘No Deal’ Brexit; the parts of the Project Yellowhammer report released by the government in mid-September confirm this.
This paper considers the effects of a ‘No Deal’ Brexit in four main subjects – trade arrangements, agricultural policy and support, labour and regulation. As well as summarising the main effects, the paper makes suggestions on what food and farming businesses could do now and in the medium-term. It also includes our assessment of how farm profits in England might change by 2028 due to Brexit and the changes in farm support proposed.